CBS 2019
CBSMD教育中心
English

科学研究

科研文章

荐读文献

Optical coherence tomography is a kid on the block: I would choose intravascular ultrasound A systematic review of factors predicting door to balloon time in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction treated with percutaneous intervention Correlation and prognostic role of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and SYNTAX score in patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with percutaneous coronary intervention: A six-year experience Biological Phenotypes of Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Lower Risk of Heart Failure and Death in Patients Initiated on SGLT-2 Inhibitors Versus Other Glucose-Lowering Drugs: The CVD-REAL Study Outcomes in Patients Treated With Thin-Strut, Very Thin-Strut, or Ultrathin-Strut Drug-Eluting Stents in Small Coronary Vessels: A Prespecified Analysis of the Randomized BIO-RESORT Trial Pharmacoinvasive and Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Strategies in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (from the Mayo Clinic STEMI Network) Symptom onset-to-balloon time and mortality in the first seven years after STEMI treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention Oxygen Therapy in Suspected Acute Myocardial Infarction HFpEF: From Mechanisms to Therapies

Original Research30 Jul 2018 [Epub ahead]

JOURNAL:Circulation. Article Link

The Astronaut Cardiovascular Health and Risk Modification (Astro-CHARM) Coronary Calcium Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Calculator

A Khera , MJ Budoff , CJ O’Donnell et al. Keywords: coronary artery calcium; risk prediction

ABSTRACT


BACKGROUND - Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a powerful novel risk indicator for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Currently, there is no available ASCVD risk prediction tool that integrates traditional risk factors and CAC.


METHODS - To develop a CAC ASCVD risk tool for younger individuals in the general population, subjects aged 40-65 without prior CVD from three population-based cohorts were included. Cox proportional hazards models were developed incorporating age, sex, systolic blood pressure, total and HDL cholesterol, smoking, diabetes, hypertension treatment, family history of MI, high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP), and CAC scores (Astro-CHARM model) as dependent variables and ASCVD (non-fatal/fatal MI or stroke) as the outcome. Model performance was assessed internally, and validated externally in a fourth cohort.

RESULTS - The derivation study comprised 7382 individuals with mean age 51 years, 45% female, and 55% non-white. The median CAC was 0 (25-75th [0,9]) and 304 ASCVD events occurred in median 10.9 years of follow-up. The c-statistic was 0.784 for the risk factor model, and 0.817 for Astro-CHARM (p<0.0001). Compared with the risk factor model, the Astro-CHARM model resulted in integrated discrimination improvement (IDI=0.0252) as well as net reclassification improvement (NRI=0.121, p<0.0001). The Astro-CHARM model demonstrated good discrimination (c=0.78) and calibration (Nam-D’Agostino χ2:13.2, p=0.16) in the validation cohort (n=2057; 55 events). A mobile application and web-based tool were developed to facilitate clinical application of this tool ( www.AstroCHARM.org).

CONCLUSIONS - The Astro-CHARM tool is the first integrated ASCVD risk calculator to incorporate risk factors, including hs-CRP and family history, and CAC data. It improves risk prediction compared with traditional risk factor equations and could be useful in risk-based decision making for CV disease prevention in the middle-aged general population.